Европейский Геополитический Форум

Публикации Russian Relations to the Gulf Region in a Changing Geopolitical Environment

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Scholars of most academic disciplines across the social sciences have a fondness for comparing different regions in order to evaluate :

why one may be developing more rapidly than another,
why democracy may be stalled in one region or flourishing in another,
why the benefits foreseen by economic reform have proven less conclusive in some regions when compared to others...

15 December 2009

Публикации Eastern Caspian Sea Energy Geopolitics: A Litmus Test for the U.S. – Russia – China Struggle for the Geostrategic Control of Eurasia

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1 December 2009

Публикации European energy and transport - Trends to 2030: update 2007

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The Baseline scenario finalised in November 2007 gives an update of the previous trend scenarios, such as the “Trends to 2030” published in 2003 and its 2005 update. The new Baseline scenario takes into account the high energy import price environment of recent years, sustained economic growth and new policies and measures implemented in the Member-States.

1 December 2009

Публикации Bosnia and Herzegovina: Political Prognosis

The former-Yugoslav entity of Bosnia and Herzegovina is gripped by deep political crisis at present. Divisions between Serb, Croat and Bosniak (Bosnian Muslims) minorities are deepening inside the country, undermining the work and institutions of government, scuttling any sense of national unity and threatening to plunge Bosnia into the vortex of ethnic conflict...

22 October 2009

Публикации Conventional Security Risks to Central Asia. A Summary Overview.

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This paper briefly outlines the conventional threats to the security of the five former Soviet states of Central Asia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. It also attempts to identify the common features contributing to insecurity in the region. The new and quite disturbing threat to regional insecurity – the growing risk of a spillover of insurgency into the region from Afghanistan is also discussed.

15 October 2009

Публикации Uzbekistan foreign policy briefing

Key issues:

1. Human rights.
2. Energy security
3. Regime stability
4. Outlook

8 October 2009

Публикации The Great Pipeline Opera: Inside the European pipeline fantasy that became a real-life gas war with Russia.

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When Joschka Fischer's lucrative new job as the "political communications advisor" to a consortium of European energy companies was leaked to a German business publication this summer, there was one comment that stood out. "Welcome to the club," said Gerhard Schröder, an even more highly paid advocate for the other side in Europe's increasingly politicized energy war...

24 August 2009

Публикации Turkey: Domestic Security Outlook

Key issues:

Special operations continue in Turkey’s south east;

PKK conflict taking on a more complex character;

Many detained in domestic crackdowns;

State-sponsored Kurdish militias involved in massacre;

Islamic threat to secular elite deemed real;

Government hardens position on secular elites;

Clandestine plot to overthrown Turkish government;

Corruption not the key obstacle in Turkey’s EU accession talks.

25 June 2009