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Turkey: Domestic Security Outlook

Key issues:

Special operations continue in Turkey’s south east;

PKK conflict taking on a more complex character;

Many detained in domestic crackdowns;

State-sponsored Kurdish militias involved in massacre;

Islamic threat to secular elite deemed real;

Government hardens position on secular elites;

Clandestine plot to overthrown Turkish government;

Corruption not the key obstacle in Turkey’s EU accession talks.

Публикация EGF | Дата: 25.06.2009 | Опубликовано на EGF: 25.06.2009 | Безопасность

The Big Caucasus. Consequences of the "Five Day War", Threats and Political Prospects

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Sergey Markedonov, a prescient analyst of the Caucasus, assesses in this Xenophon Paper the possible implications of the August 2008 “five day war”. He initiates a discussion on the region’s “unfreezing of the conflicts” and provides an in-depth description of the existent non-recognised state entities and the other ethno-political conflicts with which the Caucasus is ridden. The author also explores the perspectives of major regional and extra-regional stakeholders in the area and the ambitious policies they deploy at the moment: the Russian stabilisation project, the American “Greater Middle East” project and the European Union social and economic (soft security) project...

Sergey Markedonov | Дата: 01.05.2009 | Опубликовано на EGF: 01.05.2009 | Безопасность

North African Security Outlook: Trans-national Islamic Extremism in the Maghreb

Key issues:

Maghreb terror threat escalated to regional level;

Fresh round of attacks by Al Qaeda terrorist cells in Algeria;

Government confidence building measures amidst pre-electoral terror threat;

Algeria’s predicament: more terror with fewer insurgents;

High profile terror arrests sweep Morocco;

Lack of confidence in anti-terrorism measures, despite the crackdowns;

Terrorism threat exacerbated by Morocco’s social and economic concerns;

Clashes between militants and the army continue in Mauritania;

Presence of Al Qaeda in Mauritania likely;

Al Qaeda suspects jailed in Tunisia;

Libyan authorities remain vigilant in wake of anticipated attacks;

Maghreb militants prevented from launching attacks in Europe;

Maghreb anti-terrorism measures will require greater coordination.

Публикация EGF | Дата: 13.03.2009 | Опубликовано на EGF: 13.03.2009 | Безопасность

Islamic Extremism as a Political Force

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Michael Fredholm | Дата: 12.10.2006 | Опубликовано на EGF: 21.02.2011 | Безопасность